Round 2024
Round 28 of 30 in simulation 2 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.504 to 1.26.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2024 (the end of 2023) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 1.26 (−0.504)
- In: 1.77
- Rank by index
- 197
- In: 192
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 0.19 | 0.05 | −0.141 | 30 → 39 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 3.06 | 2.10 | −0.961 | 13 |
| National Security | 1.44 | 1.10 | −0.338 | 16 → 18 |
| Human Capital | 4.76 | 4.00 | −0.759 | 17 → 18 |
| Information & Influence | 0.86 | 0.36 | −0.502 | 25 |
| Governance & Integrity | 3.72 | 3.12 | −0.602 | 23 |
| Financial Strength | 0.23 | 0.00 | −0.227 | 48 |
| Production & Innovation | 1.14 | 0.55 | −0.586 | 32 → 36 |
| Trade & Investment | 0.49 | 0.07 | −0.422 | 28 → 29 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2024: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 5. Maintenance 5 of the 21 needed, so 77 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −54.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 30 to 39; National Security Tier 16 to 18; Human Capital Tier 17 to 18; Production & Innovation Tier 32 to 36; Trade & Investment Tier 28 to 29.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −1.71 | 0.00 | −0.13 | −1.46 | −0.11 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −1.53 | 0.00 | −0.05 | −1.47 | −0.02 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −1.30 | 0.00 | −0.03 | −1.48 | −0.04 |
| Early Childhood Development | −1.21 | 0.00 | −0.07 | −1.08 | −0.07 |
| Population Health | −1.18 | 0.00 | −0.03 | −1.09 | −0.06 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.99 | 0.00 | −0.04 | −0.93 | −0.02 |