Round 2002
Round 6 of 30 in simulation 3 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.389 to 5.28.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2002 (the end of 2001) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.28 (−0.389)
- In: 5.67
- Rank by index
- 112
- In: 107
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 25
- In: 13
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.40 | 2.31 | −0.095 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.10 | 5.59 | −0.511 | 9 |
| National Security | 5.13 | 4.99 | −0.141 | 8 |
| Human Capital | 6.52 | 6.16 | −0.366 | 14 |
| Information & Influence | 6.50 | 5.96 | −0.537 | 11 → 12 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.03 | 6.70 | −0.333 | 16 → 18 |
| Financial Strength | 6.31 | 5.70 | −0.606 | 23 → 24 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.36 | 4.98 | −0.373 | 19 |
| Trade & Investment | 5.68 | 5.14 | −0.540 | 16 → 17 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2002: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 121, plus 13 carried in. Maintenance 96. Spent 12 on actions (build 12). 25 carried over.
- BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
- BuildFoundational Education2 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
- BuildPopulation Health2 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
- BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −27.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 11 to 12; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 18; Financial Strength Tier 23 to 24; Trade & Investment Tier 16 to 17.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.98 | −0.03 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.99 | −0.01 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.94 | +0.05 | 0.00 | −0.97 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | −0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.90 | 0.00 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −0.76 | +0.06 | 0.00 | −0.81 | −0.02 |