Round 7 · simulation 3 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2003

Round 7 of 30 in simulation 3 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index −0.005 to 5.28.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2003 (the end of 2002) and as it left it.

Capability index: 5.28 (−0.005); In: 5.28
Rank by index: 112; In: 112
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 35; In: 24

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	2.31	2.30	−0.002	12
Strategic Infrastructure	5.59	5.60	+0.007	9
National Security	4.99	5.01	+0.015	8
Human Capital	6.16	6.17	+0.015	14
Information & Influence	5.96	5.95	−0.010	12
Governance & Integrity	6.70	6.70	−0.002	18
Financial Strength	5.70	5.67	−0.030	24
Production & Innovation	4.98	4.97	−0.011	19
Trade & Investment	5.14	5.11	−0.026	17

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2003: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 112, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 88. Spent 12 on actions (build 12). 35 carried over.

BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
BuildTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
BuildFoundational Education2 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
BuildPopulation Health2 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history

The groups that moved most in 2003, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Foundational Education	+0.09	+0.11	−0.02
Population Health	+0.09	+0.09	−0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure	+0.07	+0.09	−0.02
Intelligence & Assessment	+0.07	+0.07	0.00
Monetary & Currency Capability	−0.07	0.00	−0.07
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure	+0.06	+0.08	−0.01