Round 8 · simulation 3 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2004

Round 8 of 30 in simulation 3 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index −0.006 to 5.27.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2004 (the end of 2003) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.27 (−0.005)
In: 5.28
Rank by index
113
In: 112
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
45
In: 33
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.302.30−0.00512
Strategic Infrastructure5.605.61+0.0119
National Security5.015.00−0.0078
Human Capital6.176.19+0.01914
Information & Influence5.955.94−0.01412
Governance & Integrity6.706.69−0.00318
Financial Strength5.675.66−0.01124 → 25
Production & Innovation4.974.95−0.02019
Trade & Investment5.115.09−0.02017

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2004: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 111, plus 33 carried in. Maintenance 88. Spent 11 on actions (build 11). 45 carried over.

  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFoundational Education2 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 24 to 25.

The groups that moved most in 2004, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Foundational Education+0.12+0.140.000.00−0.02
Population Health+0.12+0.120.000.00−0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure+0.10+0.120.000.00−0.02
Transport Infrastructure+0.08+0.110.000.00−0.03
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure+0.08+0.100.000.00−0.03
Social Infrastructure−0.050.000.000.00−0.05