Round 20 · simulation 3 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2016

Round 20 of 30 in simulation 3 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.016 to 4.56.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2016 (the end of 2015) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.56 (+0.016)
In: 4.54
Rank by index
129
In: 130
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
18
In: 10
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.062.06−0.00412
Strategic Infrastructure5.095.15+0.06310
National Security4.534.52−0.0078
Human Capital5.565.55−0.01315
Information & Influence4.804.79−0.00914
Governance & Integrity6.046.06+0.02119
Financial Strength4.434.41−0.02229
Production & Innovation4.364.41+0.04920
Trade & Investment4.034.09+0.06519 → 18

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2016: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 92, plus 10 carried in. Maintenance 75. Spent 10 on actions (partner 10). 18 carried over.

  • PartnerIndustrial & Sectoral Base2 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure2 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics2 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication2 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 19 to 18.

The groups that moved most in 2016, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.36+0.350.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.28+0.260.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.28+0.260.000.00+0.02
Transport Infrastructure+0.23+0.250.000.00−0.02
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.20+0.220.000.00−0.01
Energy Infrastructure+0.17+0.180.000.00−0.01