Round 21 · simulation 3 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2017

Round 21 of 30 in simulation 3 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.013 to 4.57.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2017 (the end of 2016) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.57 (+0.014)
In: 4.56
Rank by index
129
In: 129
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
25
In: 17
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.062.05−0.00512
Strategic Infrastructure5.155.21+0.05510
National Security4.524.51−0.0068
Human Capital5.555.54−0.01115
Information & Influence4.794.78−0.01414
Governance & Integrity6.066.07+0.01319
Financial Strength4.414.40−0.00529
Production & Innovation4.414.43+0.02720
Trade & Investment4.094.16+0.06618

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2017: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 92, plus 17 carried in. Maintenance 75. Spent 9 on actions (partner 9). 25 carried over.

  • PartnerIndustrial & Sectoral Base2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure2 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics2 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication2 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
The groups that moved most in 2017, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.27+0.260.000.00+0.01
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.25+0.240.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.24+0.250.000.00−0.01
Transport Infrastructure+0.21+0.230.000.00−0.02
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.15+0.150.000.00−0.01
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.15+0.160.000.00−0.01