Round 21 · simulation 5 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2017

Round 21 of 30 in simulation 5 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.014 to 4.58.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2017 (the end of 2016) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.58 (+0.014)
In: 4.56
Rank by index
129
In: 129
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
24
In: 16
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.062.05−0.00512
Strategic Infrastructure5.165.22+0.05510 → 9
National Security4.504.49−0.0088
Human Capital5.555.54−0.01015
Information & Influence4.804.79−0.01214
Governance & Integrity6.056.06+0.01319
Financial Strength4.454.44−0.00429
Production & Innovation4.414.44+0.02920
Trade & Investment4.104.17+0.06818 → 17

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2017: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 92, plus 16 carried in. Maintenance 75. Spent 9 on actions (partner 9). 24 carried over.

  • PartnerIndustrial & Sectoral Base2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure2 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics2 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication2 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 10 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 18 to 17.

The groups that moved most in 2017, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.28+0.260.000.00+0.02
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.25+0.240.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.25+0.250.000.000.00
Transport Infrastructure+0.21+0.230.000.00−0.02
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.15+0.150.000.00−0.01
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.14+0.160.000.00−0.02