Round 20 · simulation 5 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2016

Round 20 of 30 in simulation 5 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.017 to 4.56.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2016 (the end of 2015) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.56 (+0.016)
In: 4.55
Rank by index
129
In: 130
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
17
In: 9
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.062.06−0.00312
Strategic Infrastructure5.105.16+0.06410
National Security4.514.50−0.0088
Human Capital5.565.55−0.01315
Information & Influence4.814.80−0.00814
Governance & Integrity6.036.05+0.02019
Financial Strength4.464.45−0.01629
Production & Innovation4.364.41+0.04820
Trade & Investment4.044.10+0.06619 → 18

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2016: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 92, plus 9 carried in. Maintenance 75. Spent 10 on actions (partner 10). 17 carried over.

  • PartnerIndustrial & Sectoral Base2 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure2 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics2 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication2 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 19 to 18.

The groups that moved most in 2016, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.36+0.350.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.28+0.260.000.00+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.27+0.260.000.00+0.01
Transport Infrastructure+0.23+0.250.000.00−0.02
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.20+0.220.000.00−0.01
Energy Infrastructure+0.17+0.180.000.00−0.01