Round 2023
Round 27 of 30 in simulation 5 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Debt service reset, and the index +0.027 to 4.22.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2023 (the end of 2022) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 4.22 (+0.027)
- In: 4.19
- Rank by index
- 136
- In: 136
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 13
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.89 | 1.91 | +0.015 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 4.78 | 4.81 | +0.024 | 10 |
| National Security | 3.99 | 3.98 | −0.003 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 5.28 | 5.33 | +0.051 | 16 |
| Information & Influence | 4.41 | 4.42 | +0.008 | 14 |
| Governance & Integrity | 5.71 | 5.79 | +0.074 | 19 |
| Financial Strength | 3.87 | 3.92 | +0.045 | 31 → 30 |
| Production & Innovation | 4.03 | 4.04 | +0.018 | 20 |
| Trade & Investment | 3.73 | 3.75 | +0.013 | 18 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2023: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 86, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 67. Spent 8 on actions (partner 8). 13 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance2 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerEnergy Infrastructure2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure2 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerDigital & AI Competence2 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
- Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +3.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 31 to 30.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Resilience & Crisis Management | +0.21 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 |
| Population Health | +0.18 | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 |
| Internal Security & Order | +0.17 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 |
| Health System Capability | +0.14 | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.04 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.10 | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Energy Infrastructure | +0.09 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.06 | −0.01 |