Round 2024
Round 28 of 30 in simulation 5 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.031 to 4.25.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2024 (the end of 2023) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 4.25 (+0.032)
- In: 4.22
- Rank by index
- 136
- In: 136
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 29
- In: 13
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.91 | 1.92 | +0.015 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 4.81 | 4.84 | +0.033 | 10 |
| National Security | 3.98 | 3.98 | −0.007 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 5.33 | 5.39 | +0.059 | 16 |
| Information & Influence | 4.42 | 4.43 | +0.008 | 14 |
| Governance & Integrity | 5.79 | 5.87 | +0.079 | 19 |
| Financial Strength | 3.92 | 3.98 | +0.059 | 30 |
| Production & Innovation | 4.04 | 4.07 | +0.020 | 20 |
| Trade & Investment | 3.75 | 3.76 | +0.016 | 18 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2024: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 92, plus 13 carried in. Maintenance 67. Spent 9 on actions (partner 9). 29 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerEnergy Infrastructure2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerDigital & AI Competence2 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
Earlier events still landing: +1.8 points this round.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Resilience & Crisis Management | +0.25 | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 |
| Population Health | +0.19 | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 |
| Internal Security & Order | +0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.17 | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Health System Capability | +0.15 | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.03 |
| Energy Infrastructure | +0.13 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.06 | −0.01 |