Round 24 · simulation 22 · cycle-003.e4-pol

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 22 of Poland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.431 to 10.11.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.11 (−0.431)
In: 10.54
Rank by index
45
In: 42
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
258
In: 234
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.786.38−0.4077
Strategic Infrastructure12.4412.27−0.1643 → 4
National Security8.268.12−0.1425 → 6
Human Capital12.3812.00−0.3784 → 5
Information & Influence10.169.56−0.6006 → 7
Governance & Integrity11.3310.99−0.3389 → 10
Financial Strength10.8010.20−0.60111 → 12
Production & Innovation11.0710.51−0.5616
Trade & Investment11.6710.98−0.6886 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 308, plus 234 carried in. Maintenance 254. Spent 31 on actions (build 31). 258 carried over.

  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management6 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability6 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration6 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −32.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 3 to 4; National Security Tier 5 to 6; Human Capital Tier 4 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 7; Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10; Financial Strength Tier 11 to 12; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.140.000.00−1.15+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.050.000.00−1.050.00
Labour & Employment−1.040.000.00−1.040.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.02+0.080.00−1.110.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.890.000.00−0.90+0.01
Foundational Education−0.690.000.00−0.690.00