Round 2022
Round 26 of 30 in simulation 20 of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and Breadbasket failure and Hybrid coercion and Debt service reset and Market access opening, and the index −1.270 to 6.80.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.80 (−1.270)
- In: 8.07
- Rank by index
- 84
- In: 67
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 245
- In: 272
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.52 | 6.72 | −0.801 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.49 | 8.25 | −2.235 | 4 → 6 |
| National Security | 9.52 | 7.53 | −1.986 | 4 → 5 |
| Human Capital | 10.72 | 10.19 | −0.533 | 7 → 9 |
| Information & Influence | 6.31 | 5.16 | −1.147 | 11 → 13 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.51 | 7.43 | −1.079 | 11 → 13 |
| Financial Strength | 5.39 | 4.48 | −0.907 | 24 → 31 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.03 | 5.88 | −1.142 | 13 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.16 | 5.56 | −1.599 | 11 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 242, plus 272 carried in. Maintenance 209. Spent 61 on actions (partner 61). 245 carried over.
- PartnerLand Power12 credits for 0.42 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerAir Power12 credits for 0.63 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerCyber & Electromagnetic Operations12 credits for 0.69 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerJoint Command, Projection & Sustainment12 credits for 0.62 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management12 credits for 0.62 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −54.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −17.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −25.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +3.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +3.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 4 to 6; National Security Tier 4 to 5; Human Capital Tier 7 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 11 to 13; Governance & Integrity Tier 11 to 13; Financial Strength Tier 24 to 31; Production & Innovation Tier 13 to 15; Trade & Investment Tier 11 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Infrastructure | −3.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −3.85 | −0.01 |
| Resource Infrastructure | −2.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.92 | −0.01 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −2.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.92 | −0.01 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −2.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.67 | 0.00 |
| Transport Infrastructure | −2.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.58 | −0.01 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −2.46 | +0.21 | 0.00 | −2.65 | −0.01 |