Round 29 · simulation 30 · cycle-003.e4-ukr

Round 2025

Round 29 of 30 in simulation 30 of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.014 to 6.86.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2025 (the end of 2024) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.86 (+0.014)
In: 6.85
Rank by index
83
In: 83
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
241
In: 238
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.676.64−0.0296
Strategic Infrastructure8.268.20−0.0546
National Security7.858.04+0.1875
Human Capital10.2410.24−0.0059
Information & Influence5.145.13−0.00813
Governance & Integrity7.647.74+0.09113
Financial Strength4.484.49+0.01228
Production & Innovation5.835.79−0.03815
Trade & Investment5.535.50−0.02813

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2025: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 218, plus 238 carried in. Maintenance 159. Spent 56 on actions (partner 56). 241 carried over.

  • PartnerLand Power11 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerAir Power11 credits for 0.60 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCyber & Electromagnetic Operations11 credits for 0.69 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerJoint Command, Projection & Sustainment11 credits for 0.64 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management11 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history

Earlier events still landing: +0.8 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2025, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations+0.70+0.740.000.00−0.04
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment+0.63+0.680.000.00−0.05
National Resilience & Crisis Management+0.62+0.620.00+0.01−0.02
Air Power+0.57+0.640.000.00−0.07
Land Power+0.33+0.450.000.00−0.12
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.140.000.00+0.01−0.14