Round 2026
Round 30 of 30 in simulation 30 of Ukraine, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.015 to 6.88.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.88 (+0.015)
- In: 6.86
- Rank by index
- 83
- In: 83
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 232
- In: 229
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.64 | 6.61 | −0.027 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 8.20 | 8.16 | −0.038 | 6 |
| National Security | 8.04 | 8.22 | +0.181 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 10.24 | 10.22 | −0.022 | 9 |
| Information & Influence | 5.13 | 5.13 | −0.007 | 13 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.74 | 7.82 | +0.081 | 13 |
| Financial Strength | 4.49 | 4.51 | +0.017 | 28 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.79 | 5.76 | −0.031 | 15 → 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 5.50 | 5.48 | −0.020 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 218, plus 229 carried in. Maintenance 161. Spent 55 on actions (partner 55). 232 carried over.
- PartnerLand Power11 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerAir Power11 credits for 0.56 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerCyber & Electromagnetic Operations11 credits for 0.63 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerJoint Command, Projection & Sustainment11 credits for 0.59 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management11 credits for 0.54 levelsscripted_history
Earlier events still landing: +0.8 points this round.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | +0.66 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | +0.59 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.04 |
| National Resilience & Crisis Management | +0.57 | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 |
| Air Power | +0.53 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.06 |
| Land Power | +0.31 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.11 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | −0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.13 |