Round 2019
Round 23 of 30 in simulation 20 of Venezuela, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion and Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.615 to 8.87.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 8.87 (−0.615)
- In: 9.49
- Rank by index
- 61
- In: 52
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 22
- In: 16
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.13 | 5.81 | −0.322 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.60 | 11.01 | −0.596 | 2 → 3 |
| National Security | 7.79 | 6.86 | −0.939 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 12.95 | 12.73 | −0.220 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.61 | 10.49 | −1.117 | 3 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 10.27 | 9.68 | −0.590 | 12 → 13 |
| Financial Strength | 7.80 | 7.04 | −0.756 | 12 → 14 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.25 | 7.81 | −0.440 | 13 → 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.97 | 8.42 | −0.552 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2019: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 271, plus 16 carried in. Maintenance 237. Spent 27 on actions (build 16, buy 11). 22 carried over.
- BuyResource Infrastructure5 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
- BuildMonetary & Currency Capability5 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
- BuyInternal Security & Order5 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −9.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −34.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 3; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 4; Governance & Integrity Tier 12 to 13; Financial Strength Tier 12 to 14; Production & Innovation Tier 13 to 14.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | −1.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.78 | −0.04 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.74 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −1.25 | +0.04 | 0.00 | −1.28 | −0.01 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.25 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.13 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.11 | −0.01 |