Round 2020
Round 24 of 30 in simulation 20 of Venezuela, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.470 to 8.40.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 8.40 (−0.470)
- In: 8.87
- Rank by index
- 65
- In: 61
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 45
- In: 21
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 5.81 | 5.37 | −0.446 | 6 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.01 | 10.70 | −0.310 | 3 |
| National Security | 6.86 | 6.60 | −0.252 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 12.73 | 12.23 | −0.501 | 1 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.49 | 9.85 | −0.646 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 9.68 | 9.42 | −0.268 | 13 |
| Financial Strength | 7.04 | 6.52 | −0.525 | 14 → 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.81 | 7.21 | −0.594 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.42 | 7.73 | −0.690 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 253, plus 21 carried in. Maintenance 203. Spent 27 on actions (build 16, buy 11). 45 carried over.
- BuyResource Infrastructure5 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
- BuildMonetary & Currency Capability5 credits for 0.36 levelsscripted_history
- BuyInternal Security & Order5 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −33.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 7; Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 14 to 17.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.19 | −0.03 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | −1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.09 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.95 | −0.03 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.82 | +0.10 | 0.00 | −0.85 | −0.07 |
| Health System Capability | −0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.73 | −0.02 |