Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 44 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.009 to 12.17.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.17 (+0.009)
- In: 12.16
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 99
- In: 72
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.44 | 9.49 | +0.051 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.85 | 13.80 | −0.048 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.42 | +0.003 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.29 | 14.70 | +0.409 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.54 | 12.37 | −0.169 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.21 | 12.15 | −0.065 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.29 | 13.28 | −0.004 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.20 | 12.05 | −0.147 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.22 | 12.27 | +0.053 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 419, plus 72 carried in. Maintenance 289. Spent 103 on actions (build 21, buy 21, partner 62). 99 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.90 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection21 credits for 1.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −29.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.63 | +1.76 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.29 | +1.34 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.17 | +1.31 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.96 | +1.10 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.79 | +0.95 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.62 | +0.79 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |