Round 9 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.093 to 12.11.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.11 (+0.093)
In: 12.02
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
120
In: 95
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.169.54+0.3836 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure13.6513.66+0.0163
National Security9.519.52+0.0075
Human Capital14.5314.64+0.1091
Information & Influence12.1512.16+0.0125
Governance & Integrity11.8411.84−0.0039
Financial Strength12.8612.88+0.0269
Production & Innovation12.1512.19+0.0395
Trade & Investment12.2812.53+0.2537

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 415, plus 95 carried in. Maintenance 287. Spent 104 on actions (build 41, buy 41, partner 21). 120 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.88 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by -1 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.68 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.88+1.880.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.67+1.670.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.85+0.830.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.83+0.840.000.00−0.01
Advanced Education+0.48+0.480.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.44+0.450.000.00−0.01