Round 10 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.106 to 12.21.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.21 (+0.106)
In: 12.11
Rank by index
27
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
135
In: 114
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.549.57+0.0335
Strategic Infrastructure13.6613.70+0.0373
National Security9.529.53+0.0145
Human Capital14.6414.77+0.1301
Information & Influence12.1612.46+0.3045
Governance & Integrity11.8411.83−0.0039
Financial Strength12.8812.89+0.0069
Production & Innovation12.1912.23+0.0425
Trade & Investment12.5312.92+0.3907 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 416, plus 114 carried in. Maintenance 292. Spent 104 on actions (build 42, buy 21, partner 42). 135 carried over.

  • BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.20 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by -4 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance21 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence21 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade21 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.78+1.720.000.00+0.06
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.94+0.880.000.00+0.06
Digital & Services Trade+0.89+0.880.000.00+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.84+0.840.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.73+0.720.000.00+0.01
Foundational Education+0.46+0.460.000.000.00