Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.118 to 12.33.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.33 (+0.118)
- In: 12.21
- Rank by index
- 26
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 145
- In: 128
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.57 | 9.61 | +0.038 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.70 | 13.75 | +0.046 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.53 | 9.55 | +0.014 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.77 | 15.10 | +0.326 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.46 | 12.48 | +0.014 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.83 | 11.83 | −0.003 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.89 | 12.96 | +0.065 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.23 | 12.27 | +0.036 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.92 | 13.45 | +0.528 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 417, plus 128 carried in. Maintenance 295. Spent 104 on actions (buy 42, partner 63). 145 carried over.
- BuyAdvanced Education21 credits for 0.74 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by -1 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication21 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation21 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Education | +1.48 | +1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.99 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.97 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.91 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.90 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.83 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |