Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.135 to 12.47.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.47 (+0.135)
- In: 12.33
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 26
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 156
- In: 138
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.61 | 9.88 | +0.266 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.75 | 13.78 | +0.036 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.55 | 9.56 | +0.016 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.10 | 15.24 | +0.140 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.48 | 12.65 | +0.169 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.83 | 11.83 | −0.001 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.96 | 13.03 | +0.074 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.27 | 12.30 | +0.034 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.45 | 13.93 | +0.479 | 5 → 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 422, plus 138 carried in. Maintenance 300. Spent 104 on actions (buy 21, partner 83). 156 carried over.
- PartnerQuantum Technologies21 credits for 1.37 levelsmctsahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by -1 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection21 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems21 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position21 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.77 | +1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.92 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.91 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.82 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.81 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Advanced Education | +0.75 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |