Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.159 to 12.63.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.63 (+0.159)
- In: 12.47
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 165
- In: 148
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.88 | 10.35 | +0.475 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.78 | 13.81 | +0.027 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.56 | 9.58 | +0.014 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.24 | 15.36 | +0.117 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.65 | 12.95 | +0.300 | 4 → 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.83 | 11.83 | −0.001 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.03 | 13.04 | +0.014 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.30 | 12.56 | +0.256 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.93 | 14.16 | +0.232 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 429, plus 148 carried in. Maintenance 306. Spent 105 on actions (buy 63, partner 42). 165 carried over.
- PartnerSemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 0.98 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by -2 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication21 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.74 | +1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.67 | +1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.65 | +1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.91 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.83 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.79 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |