Round 14 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.105 to 12.73.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.73 (+0.106)
In: 12.63
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
165
In: 157
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.3510.72+0.3675
Strategic Infrastructure13.8113.83+0.0243
National Security9.589.59+0.0135
Human Capital15.3615.44+0.0891
Information & Influence12.9513.10+0.1493
Governance & Integrity11.8311.830.0009
Financial Strength13.0413.05+0.0049
Production & Innovation12.5612.74+0.1814
Trade & Investment14.1614.28+0.1224

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 431, plus 157 carried in. Maintenance 316. Spent 107 on actions (build 21, buy 64, partner 21). 165 carried over.

  • BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation21 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence21 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.95+1.950.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+1.62+1.620.000.00+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+1.08+1.070.000.00+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.83+0.820.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.78+0.770.000.00+0.01
Advanced Education+0.27+0.240.000.00+0.03