Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.106 to 12.84.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.84 (+0.105)
- In: 12.73
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 167
- In: 157
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.72 | 10.91 | +0.186 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.83 | 13.86 | +0.026 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.59 | 9.60 | +0.010 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.44 | 15.52 | +0.079 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.10 | 13.37 | +0.277 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.83 | 11.83 | +0.003 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.05 | 13.13 | +0.083 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.74 | 12.78 | +0.040 | 4 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.28 | 14.53 | +0.248 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 441, plus 157 carried in. Maintenance 324. Spent 108 on actions (buy 43, partner 65). 167 carried over.
- PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation22 credits for 0.94 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by -3 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance22 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance22 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies22 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade22 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.65 | +1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.58 | +1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.82 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.78 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.55 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.49 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 |