Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.104 to 12.94.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.94 (+0.104)
- In: 12.84
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 167
- In: 158
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.91 | 10.96 | +0.050 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.86 | 13.88 | +0.025 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.60 | 9.61 | +0.015 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.52 | 15.61 | +0.082 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.37 | 13.41 | +0.040 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.83 | 11.84 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.13 | 13.27 | +0.136 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.78 | 12.81 | +0.030 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.53 | 15.08 | +0.550 | 4 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 448, plus 158 carried in. Maintenance 329. Spent 110 on actions (build 22, partner 88). 167 carried over.
- BuildExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.19 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by -3 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence22 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access22 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance22 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.94 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.81 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.78 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.72 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.71 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.61 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |