Round 17 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.159 to 13.10.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.10 (+0.159)
In: 12.94
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
171
In: 158
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.9611.31+0.3525
Strategic Infrastructure13.8813.91+0.0243
National Security9.619.63+0.0155
Human Capital15.6115.71+0.1021
Information & Influence13.4113.56+0.1513
Governance & Integrity11.8411.84+0.0069
Financial Strength13.2713.61+0.3408
Production & Innovation12.8112.83+0.0203
Trade & Investment15.0815.50+0.4203 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 460, plus 158 carried in. Maintenance 335. Spent 112 on actions (build 22, buy 67, partner 22). 171 carried over.

  • BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation22 credits for 0.82 levelsmctsahead of Strategic Strike & Missile Defence by -1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation22 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems22 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power22 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing22 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.67+1.620.000.00+0.05
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.63+1.590.000.00+0.03
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.60+1.570.000.00+0.03
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.86+0.810.000.00+0.05
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.74+0.650.000.00+0.09
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.73+0.710.000.00+0.02