Round 16 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 41 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.107 to 13.65.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.65 (+0.108)
In: 13.55
Rank by index
21
In: 21
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
50
In: 66
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.6611.69+0.0284
Strategic Infrastructure14.1914.28+0.0893
National Security9.789.81+0.0245
Human Capital16.4716.50+0.0371
Information & Influence14.1814.23+0.0463
Governance & Integrity12.3812.42+0.0399
Financial Strength13.9414.09+0.1487
Production & Innovation13.6313.66+0.0292
Trade & Investment15.6916.21+0.5251

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 482, plus 66 carried in. Maintenance 382. Spent 117 on actions (build 24, buy 24, partner 70). 50 carried over.

  • BuildSovereign Capital & External Financial Power24 credits for 1.26 levelsmctsahead of Global Value Chain Position by -4 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position24 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection24 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade24 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure24 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.25+1.240.000.00+0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.82+0.800.000.00+0.02
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.80+0.790.000.00+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.77+0.750.000.00+0.02
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.64+0.640.000.00+0.01
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+0.43+0.420.000.00+0.01