Round 17 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 41 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.163 to 13.82.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.82 (+0.163)
In: 13.65
Rank by index
19
In: 21
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
30
In: 47
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.6912.21+0.5254
Strategic Infrastructure14.2814.37+0.0923
National Security9.819.83+0.0265
Human Capital16.5016.55+0.0421
Information & Influence14.2314.27+0.0393
Governance & Integrity12.4212.46+0.0399
Financial Strength14.0914.16+0.0787
Production & Innovation13.6613.83+0.1722
Trade & Investment16.2116.67+0.4541

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 492, plus 47 carried in. Maintenance 388. Spent 121 on actions (buy 97, partner 24). 30 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity24 credits for 1.03 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -2 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication24 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems24 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation24 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing24 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.65+1.620.000.00+0.03
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.64+1.630.000.00+0.01
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.63+1.600.000.00+0.04
Economic Output & Productivity+1.05+1.030.000.00+0.02
Digital & Services Trade+0.81+0.800.000.00+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.77+0.760.000.00+0.01