Round 18 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 41 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.107 to 13.92.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.92 (+0.106)
In: 13.82
Rank by index
19
In: 19
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
6
In: 28
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology12.2112.61+0.4024 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure14.3714.41+0.0373
National Security9.839.94+0.1075
Human Capital16.5516.59+0.0431
Information & Influence14.2714.30+0.0313
Governance & Integrity12.4612.50+0.0379
Financial Strength14.1614.30+0.1407 → 5
Production & Innovation13.8313.86+0.0332
Trade & Investment16.6716.80+0.1301

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 503, plus 28 carried in. Maintenance 403. Spent 123 on actions (build 25, buy 74, partner 25). 6 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance25 credits for 0.66 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies25 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies25 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyStrategic Strike & Missile Defence25 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence25 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.60+1.580.000.00+0.02
Artificial Intelligence+1.56+1.470.000.00+0.09
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence+0.85+0.830.000.00+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.76+0.760.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.68+0.670.000.00+0.01
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+0.46+0.420.000.00+0.04