Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.160 to 12.11.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.11 (+0.161)
- In: 11.95
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 68
- In: 53
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.12 | 9.37 | +0.253 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.81 | 13.81 | +0.005 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.42 | +0.002 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.51 | 14.03 | +0.523 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 12.21 | 12.51 | +0.295 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.12 | 12.12 | +0.001 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.24 | 13.24 | +0.001 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.98 | 12.34 | +0.354 | 8 → 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.18 | 12.19 | +0.008 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 395, plus 53 carried in. Maintenance 282. Spent 98 on actions (build 39, buy 59). 68 carried over.
- BuildArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 0.97 levelsmctsahead of Digital & AI Competence by -1 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence20 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2; Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +2.46 | +2.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.96 | +1.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.77 | +1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.50 | +1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.40 | +1.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.31 | +1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |