Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.140 to 11.97.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.97 (−0.140)
- In: 12.11
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 73
- In: 64
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.37 | 9.44 | +0.063 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.81 | 13.65 | −0.158 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.42 | +0.004 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.03 | 14.46 | +0.428 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.51 | 12.34 | −0.171 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.12 | 11.92 | −0.195 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.24 | 12.63 | −0.607 | 9 → 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.34 | 11.92 | −0.417 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.19 | 11.98 | −0.203 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 395, plus 64 carried in. Maintenance 287. Spent 99 on actions (build 20, buy 40, partner 40). 73 carried over.
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection20 credits for 1.52 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -2 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access20 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −16.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +2.13 | +2.23 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.07 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.21 | +1.31 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.01 | +1.10 | 0.00 | −0.09 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.94 | +1.03 | 0.00 | −0.09 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.86 | +0.98 | 0.00 | −0.12 | 0.00 |
| Financial Regulation & Integrity | −0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.67 | 0.00 |