Round 8 · simulation 45 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.027 to 11.94.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.94 (−0.026)
In: 11.97
Rank by index
30
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
25
In: 61
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.299.30+0.0045
Strategic Infrastructure13.5913.51−0.0783
National Security9.439.44+0.0085
Human Capital14.6214.68+0.0661
Information & Influence12.3012.26−0.0415
Governance & Integrity11.8011.69−0.1169
Financial Strength12.4912.45−0.04111 → 10
Production & Innovation11.9111.75−0.1626
Trade & Investment12.2612.38+0.1196

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 343, plus 61 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 94 on actions (build 19, buy 19, partner 57). 25 carried over.

  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.58 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics19 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education19 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.7 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 11 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.51+1.670.00−0.18+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.77+0.940.00−0.160.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.61+0.790.00−0.31+0.13
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.60+0.760.00−0.19+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.58+0.770.00−0.190.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.57+0.790.00−0.19−0.04