Round 9 · simulation 45 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.029 to 11.91.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.91 (−0.029)
In: 11.94
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
3
In: 24
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.309.13−0.1705 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure13.5113.44−0.0773
National Security9.449.45+0.0095
Human Capital14.6814.73+0.0471
Information & Influence12.2612.33+0.0675
Governance & Integrity11.6911.57−0.1159
Financial Strength12.4512.38−0.06310
Production & Innovation11.7511.59−0.1656
Trade & Investment12.3812.59+0.2116

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 349, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 86 on actions (buy 34, partner 51). 3 carried over.

  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation17 credits for 0.82 levelsmctsahead of Strategic Strike & Missile Defence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance17 credits for 0.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence17 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication17 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance17 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.7 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.35+1.440.00−0.17+0.09
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.28+1.490.00−0.19−0.02
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.70+0.820.00−0.120.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.58+0.770.00−0.19−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.54+0.740.00−0.19−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.42+0.720.00−0.31+0.01