Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.098 to 12.01.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.01 (+0.098)
- In: 11.91
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 32
- In: 3
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.13 | 9.32 | +0.194 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.44 | 13.44 | −0.001 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.45 | 9.45 | +0.008 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.73 | 14.78 | +0.052 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.33 | 12.34 | +0.006 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.57 | 11.57 | −0.003 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.38 | 12.44 | +0.058 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.59 | 11.74 | +0.156 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.59 | 13.00 | +0.413 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 399, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 282. Spent 87 on actions (build 17, buy 35, partner 35). 32 carried over.
- BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 0.73 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence17 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade17 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity17 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position17 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.52 | +1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.96 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.79 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.72 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.72 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.68 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |