Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.098 to 12.11.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.11 (+0.099)
- In: 12.01
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 55
- In: 30
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.32 | 9.52 | +0.197 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.44 | 13.44 | +0.001 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.45 | 9.46 | +0.004 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.78 | 14.83 | +0.052 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.34 | 12.49 | +0.151 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.57 | 11.57 | −0.003 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.44 | 12.47 | +0.028 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.74 | 11.86 | +0.114 | 6 → 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.00 | 13.35 | +0.341 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 411, plus 30 carried in. Maintenance 287. Spent 100 on actions (build 20, buy 20, partner 60). 55 carried over.
- PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.21 levelsmctsahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access20 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education20 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.83 | +1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.88 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.85 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.80 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.71 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.66 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |