Round 5 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.144 to 11.62.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.62 (+0.144)
In: 11.47
Rank by index
31
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
87
In: 54
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.609.00+0.4026
Strategic Infrastructure13.1013.09−0.0063
National Security8.798.79+0.0105
Human Capital13.2713.78+0.5123
Information & Influence11.4211.72+0.2976
Governance & Integrity11.6911.69−0.0019
Financial Strength12.9712.97+0.00410
Production & Innovation11.7911.88+0.0848
Trade & Investment11.6511.64−0.0078

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 388, plus 54 carried in. Maintenance 258. Spent 96 on actions (build 38, buy 58). 87 carried over.

  • BuildNuclear Deterrence19 credits for 0.44 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 2 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.99 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.97 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence19 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.99+1.990.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.98+1.970.000.00+0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.80+1.790.000.00+0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.49+1.490.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.39+1.390.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.28+1.290.000.000.00