Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.134 to 11.75.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.75 (+0.134)
- In: 11.62
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 31
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 116
- In: 83
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.00 | 9.17 | +0.170 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.09 | 13.08 | −0.008 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.79 | 8.80 | +0.006 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.78 | 14.18 | +0.399 | 3 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.72 | 11.88 | +0.162 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.69 | 11.68 | −0.003 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.97 | 12.98 | +0.007 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.88 | 12.12 | +0.238 | 8 → 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.64 | 11.88 | +0.233 | 8 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 393, plus 83 carried in. Maintenance 264. Spent 97 on actions (buy 39, partner 58). 116 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.71 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 4 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion19 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.72 | +1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.66 | +1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.27 | +1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.09 | +1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.02 | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.96 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |