Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.142 to 11.89.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.89 (+0.142)
- In: 11.75
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 139
- In: 110
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.17 | 9.18 | +0.011 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.08 | 13.09 | +0.004 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.80 | 8.81 | +0.007 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.18 | 14.57 | +0.388 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.88 | 12.21 | +0.328 | 6 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.68 | 11.68 | −0.004 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.98 | 13.04 | +0.065 | 10 → 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.12 | 12.12 | +0.008 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.88 | 12.35 | +0.472 | 7 → 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 397, plus 110 carried in. Maintenance 269. Spent 98 on actions (buy 20, partner 79). 139 carried over.
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.64 levelsmctsahead of Strategic Strike & Missile Defence by 1 per cent
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position20 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.89 | +1.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.98 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.93 | +0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.92 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.83 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.81 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |