Round 8 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.145 to 12.04.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.04 (+0.144)
In: 11.89
Rank by index
29
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
161
In: 132
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.189.57+0.3936 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure13.0913.09+0.0063
National Security8.818.82+0.0155
Human Capital14.5714.73+0.1641
Information & Influence12.2112.37+0.1634
Governance & Integrity11.6811.68−0.0039 → 10
Financial Strength13.0413.18+0.1359
Production & Innovation12.1212.15+0.0255
Trade & Investment12.3512.75+0.4026

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 404, plus 132 carried in. Maintenance 275. Spent 99 on actions (build 20, buy 60, partner 20). 161 carried over.

  • BuyTrade Facilitation & Logistics20 credits for 1.06 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Education by 2 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+2.02+1.770.000.00+0.25
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.78+1.770.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+1.05+1.060.000.00−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.92+0.930.000.00−0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.84+0.820.000.00+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.82+0.820.000.000.00