Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.007 to 12.03.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.03 (−0.007)
- In: 12.04
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 182
- In: 153
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.57 | 9.62 | +0.047 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.09 | 13.06 | −0.036 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.82 | 8.83 | +0.006 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.73 | 14.75 | +0.019 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.37 | 12.52 | +0.152 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.68 | 11.59 | −0.082 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.18 | 13.12 | −0.053 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.15 | 12.04 | −0.104 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.75 | 12.74 | −0.010 | 6 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 414, plus 153 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 101 on actions (build 40, buy 40, partner 20). 182 carried over.
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.67 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence20 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education20 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −20.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.57 | +1.67 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.03 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.44 | +1.58 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.79 | +0.85 | 0.00 | −0.13 | +0.07 |
| Advanced Education | +0.34 | +0.47 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.27 | +0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.23 | 0.00 |