Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.010 to 12.04.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.04 (+0.011)
- In: 12.03
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 150
- In: 173
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.62 | 9.52 | −0.101 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.06 | 13.06 | +0.008 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.83 | 8.87 | +0.042 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.75 | 14.78 | +0.029 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.52 | 12.43 | −0.095 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.59 | 11.54 | −0.052 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.12 | 13.00 | −0.120 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.04 | 12.12 | +0.073 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.74 | 13.05 | +0.311 | 7 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 364, plus 173 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 104 on actions (build 41, buy 21, partner 41). 150 carried over.
- BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.23 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection21 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +3.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.02 | +1.11 | 0.00 | −0.10 | +0.02 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.77 | +0.89 | 0.00 | −0.12 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.75 | +0.85 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.62 | +0.75 | 0.00 | −0.12 | −0.01 |
| Advanced Education | +0.59 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.13 | +0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.49 | +0.61 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |