Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.039 to 12.08.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.08 (+0.038)
- In: 12.04
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 151
- In: 142
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.52 | 9.44 | −0.086 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.06 | 13.07 | +0.008 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.87 | 8.91 | +0.042 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.78 | 14.93 | +0.151 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.43 | 12.33 | −0.096 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.54 | 11.49 | −0.053 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.00 | 12.95 | −0.055 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.12 | 12.24 | +0.119 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.05 | 13.36 | +0.314 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 384, plus 142 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 91 on actions (build 18, buy 36, partner 36). 151 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance18 credits for 0.67 levelsmctsahead of Digital & Services Trade by 3 per cent
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade18 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation18 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion18 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education18 credits for 1.00 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −5.6 points this round.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.38 | +1.41 | 0.00 | −0.11 | +0.09 |
| Advanced Education | +0.80 | +0.90 | 0.00 | −0.13 | +0.03 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.79 | +0.86 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.77 | +0.89 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.64 | +0.75 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.02 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.56 | +0.77 | 0.00 | −0.25 | +0.04 |