Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.127 to 12.21.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.21 (+0.127)
- In: 12.08
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 200
- In: 143
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.44 | 9.62 | +0.186 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.07 | 13.13 | +0.055 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.91 | 8.95 | +0.041 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.93 | 15.08 | +0.149 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.33 | 12.51 | +0.183 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.49 | 11.52 | +0.030 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 12.95 | 13.07 | +0.122 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.24 | 12.27 | +0.035 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.36 | 13.71 | +0.345 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 438, plus 143 carried in. Maintenance 285. Spent 96 on actions (buy 19, partner 77). 200 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.69 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems19 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position19 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication19 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.3 points this round.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.64 | +1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.95 | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.82 | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.81 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.79 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.76 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |