Round 13 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.148 to 12.36.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.36 (+0.149)
In: 12.21
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
223
In: 190
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.6210.32+0.6965
Strategic Infrastructure13.1313.15+0.0193
National Security8.958.99+0.0385
Human Capital15.0815.19+0.1121
Information & Influence12.5112.66+0.1484
Governance & Integrity11.5211.52−0.00110
Financial Strength13.0713.14+0.0669 → 8
Production & Innovation12.2712.31+0.0354
Trade & Investment13.7113.93+0.2205

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 433, plus 190 carried in. Maintenance 291. Spent 109 on actions (build 22, buy 88). 223 carried over.

  • BuildStrategic Strike & Missile Defence22 credits for 0.96 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies22 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation22 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.81+1.810.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.76+1.750.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+1.73+1.710.000.00+0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.56+1.550.000.000.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.78+0.780.000.00+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.75+0.730.000.00+0.02