Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.085 to 12.44.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.44 (+0.084)
- In: 12.36
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 26
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 240
- In: 212
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.32 | 10.33 | +0.016 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.15 | 13.16 | +0.018 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.99 | 9.03 | +0.041 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.19 | 15.28 | +0.088 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.66 | 12.94 | +0.283 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.52 | 11.52 | −0.001 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.14 | 13.15 | +0.010 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.31 | 12.49 | +0.185 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.93 | 14.05 | +0.122 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 438, plus 212 carried in. Maintenance 301. Spent 108 on actions (build 43, buy 43, partner 22). 240 carried over.
- BuildNuclear Deterrence22 credits for 0.50 levelsmctsahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics22 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance22 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education22 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.63 | +1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.12 | +1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.79 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.48 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | +0.23 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Foundational Education | +0.23 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |