Round 15 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.109 to 12.55.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.55 (+0.109)
In: 12.44
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
263
In: 228
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.3310.38+0.0445
Strategic Infrastructure13.1613.19+0.0233
National Security9.039.08+0.0435
Human Capital15.2815.45+0.1751
Information & Influence12.9413.10+0.1544 → 3
Governance & Integrity11.5211.52+0.00110
Financial Strength13.1513.17+0.0208
Production & Innovation12.4912.53+0.0364
Trade & Investment14.0514.54+0.4845

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 448, plus 228 carried in. Maintenance 305. Spent 110 on actions (buy 22, partner 88). 263 carried over.

  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence22 credits for 1.66 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation22 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.45 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade22 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation22 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.02+0.970.000.00+0.04
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.93+0.830.000.00+0.10
Digital & Services Trade+0.86+0.830.000.00+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.84+0.830.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.75+0.720.000.00+0.03