Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.141 to 12.69.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.69 (+0.141)
- In: 12.55
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 280
- In: 249
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.38 | 10.74 | +0.362 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.19 | 13.28 | +0.090 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.08 | 9.13 | +0.054 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.45 | 15.54 | +0.084 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.10 | 13.28 | +0.177 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.52 | 11.52 | +0.003 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.17 | 13.17 | +0.005 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.53 | 12.55 | +0.020 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.54 | 15.01 | +0.474 | 5 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 452, plus 249 carried in. Maintenance 310. Spent 112 on actions (buy 67, partner 45). 280 carried over.
- PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation22 credits for 0.93 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 3 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access22 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies22 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure22 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems22 credits for 1.68 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.72 | +1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.71 | +1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.87 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.85 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.84 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.78 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |