Round 6 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.116 to 11.67.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.67 (−0.117)
In: 11.79
Rank by index
31
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 42
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.978.83−0.1346
Strategic Infrastructure13.6913.59−0.0973
National Security9.379.35−0.0185
Human Capital13.8514.07+0.2212
Information & Influence11.8411.81−0.0306
Governance & Integrity11.9111.74−0.1709
Financial Strength13.0112.70−0.3039 → 10
Production & Innovation11.7911.58−0.2048
Trade & Investment11.6711.36−0.3118

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 299, plus 42 carried in. Maintenance 275. Spent 64 on actions (buy 36, partner 28). 2 carried over.

  • PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 0.93 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance18 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection4 credits for 0.29 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −15.6 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.34+1.630.00−0.26−0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.24+1.590.00−0.350.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.10+1.320.00−0.230.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.88+1.110.00−0.230.00
Foundational Education+0.61+0.740.00−0.130.00
Digital & Services Trade−0.490.000.00−0.50+0.01