Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.163 to 12.24.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.24 (+0.163)
- In: 12.08
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 147
- In: 105
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.35 | 9.89 | +0.543 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.51 | 13.56 | +0.048 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.38 | 9.38 | +0.008 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.91 | 14.97 | +0.055 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.33 | 12.50 | +0.170 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.65 | 11.68 | +0.027 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.78 | 12.80 | +0.029 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.96 | 12.03 | +0.065 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.86 | 13.38 | +0.521 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 432, plus 105 carried in. Maintenance 286. Spent 104 on actions (buy 63, partner 42). 147 carried over.
- BuyArtificial Intelligence21 credits for 1.69 levelsmctsahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 3 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection21 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems21 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.6 points this round.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.83 | +1.79 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.80 | +1.69 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.09 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.55 | +1.53 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.94 | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.92 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.88 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |