Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.154 to 12.40.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.40 (+0.154)
- In: 12.24
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 171
- In: 139
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.89 | 10.12 | +0.224 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.56 | 13.62 | +0.059 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.38 | 9.40 | +0.020 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.97 | 15.01 | +0.038 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.50 | 12.54 | +0.039 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.68 | 11.71 | +0.028 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.80 | 12.82 | +0.016 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.03 | 12.32 | +0.293 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.38 | 14.05 | +0.671 | 5 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 437, plus 139 carried in. Maintenance 297. Spent 108 on actions (buy 65, partner 43). 171 carried over.
- BuyExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.05 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 3 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion22 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics22 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation22 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access22 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.6 points this round.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.83 | +1.80 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.81 | +1.78 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.77 | +1.64 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.08 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.09 | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.83 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.78 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |